Atlas v Guadalajara Chivas: the model read
Atlas meet Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX apertura - 11 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guadalajara Chivas, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Guadalajara Chivas on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Atlas arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Club Queretaro, W 2-0 @ Cruz Azul, W 2-1 v Tigres UANL, W 2-1 @ FC Cincinnati.
Guadalajara Chivas are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ CF Pachuca, W 5-2 v Club Tijuana, W 1-0 @ Santos Laguna, W 2-1 @ Seattle Sounders.
Guadalajara Chivas hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara Chivas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
