Where the market is wrong on Altglienicke v VfL Wolfsburg
Altglienicke meet VfL Wolfsburg in the DFB Pokal round of 64 at Amateurstadion, Berlin.
Altglienicke rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1466. Recent form leans Altglienicke, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors Altglienicke on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Altglienicke at 64%; double chance reads Altglienicke or draw 74%, VfL Wolfsburg or draw 53%.
Altglienicke arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v VfL Wolfsburg, W 2-1 v Hallescher FC, W 3-1 v Hertha BSC II, W 3-1 @ Greifswalder FC.
VfL Wolfsburg are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Altglienicke, W 1-0 @ Hannover 96, D 0-0 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, W 3-1 v Telstar.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Altglienicke 3-3 VfL Wolfsburg.
The market prices ALT at 6% implied. Our number sits apart on Altglienicke: a 40.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
