Fiorentina v Napoli: the model read
Fiorentina meet Napoli in the Serie A regular season - 5 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Napoli, 68% against 58%. Attacking output favors Napoli on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Napoli at 59%; double chance reads Fiorentina or draw 59%, Napoli or draw 71%.
Fiorentina arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Frosinone, L 0-4 @ AS Roma, W 4-1 v Benevento, D 1-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.
Napoli are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Como, W 2-0 @ Genoa, W 6-2 v Aris Thessalonikis, D 1-1 v Celta Vigo.
Napoli hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Napoli 2-1 Fiorentina.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
