Deportivo Cali v Jaguares

Deportivo Cali meet Jaguares in the Primera A clausura - 1 at Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira. The model makes Deportivo Cali the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% DEP, 30% draw, 21% JAG.

Deportivo Cali rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans Deportivo Cali, 68% against 28%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Cali on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Cali at 70%; double chance reads Deportivo Cali or draw 79%, Jaguares or draw 51%.

Deportivo Cali arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Jaguares, W 2-0 @ Alianza Lima, W 2-1 @ Real Santander, W 1-0 v Alianza Valledupar.

Jaguares are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Deportivo Cali, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Pereira, W 3-0 v Ind. Yumbo, D 0-0 @ Águilas Doradas.

Jaguares hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Cali 2-0 Jaguares.

The market prices DEP at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Jaguares: a 8.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.