Envigado v Real Soacha

Envigado meet Real Soacha in the Primera B clausura - 1 at Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado. The model makes Envigado the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% ENV, 31% draw, 28% REA.

Envigado rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1420. Recent form leans Envigado, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors Envigado on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Envigado at 60%; double chance reads Envigado or draw 72%, Real Soacha or draw 59%.

Envigado arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Once Caldas, D 1-1 v Real Cartagena, W 3-2 @ Real Cartagena, W 1-0 v Quindio.

Real Soacha are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Águilas Doradas, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Pereira, W 2-0 v Ind. Yumbo, W 2-1 @ Jaguares.

Envigado hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Soacha 0-2 Envigado.

The market prices ENV at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Real Soacha: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.