Atletico Grau v Sport Boys

Atletico Grau meet Sport Boys in the Primera División clausura - 3 at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura. The model makes Sport Boys the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% ATL, 34% draw, 35% SPO.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sport Boys on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Sport Boys at 53%; double chance reads Atletico Grau or draw 65%, Sport Boys or draw 69%.

Atletico Grau arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sport Huancayo, W 3-1 v UTC Cajamarca, D 1-1 v Carlos A. Mannucci, D 1-1 @ Universitario.

Sport Boys are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v ADT, L 0-1 @ Club Deportivo Los Chankas, W 1-0 v Comerciantes, W 3-0 v Academia Cantolao.

The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 5 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sport Boys 1-0 Atletico Grau.

The market prices ATL at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Sport Boys: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.