Gualaceo SC v Macara: the model read
Gualaceo SC meet Macara in the Copa Ecuador round of 16 at Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% GUA, 37% draw, 32% MAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 65%. Attacking output favors Macara on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 19%, over 2.5 goals around 11%. Draw no bet leans Macara at 51%; double chance reads Gualaceo SC or draw 68%, Macara or draw 69%.
Gualaceo SC arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 3 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ El Nacional, L 0-1 v 22 de Julio, D 0-0 @ 9 de Octubre, W 2-1 @ Cuniburo.
Macara are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Aucas, W 3-0 v Deportivo Cuenca, L 1-2 @ Delfin SC, W 2-1 v Mushuc Runa SC.
Gualaceo SC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Macara 1-1 Gualaceo SC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
