Where the market is wrong on IFK Östersund v Degerfors IF
IFK Östersund meet Degerfors IF in the Svenska Cupen final.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans IFK Östersund, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors IFK Östersund on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans IFK Östersund at 55%; double chance reads IFK Östersund or draw 68%, Degerfors IF or draw 61%.
IFK Östersund arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Boden, L 1-5 v Degerfors IF, W 1-0 v Lucksta, L 0-4 @ Gottne.
Degerfors IF are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ IF Brommapojkarna, W 5-1 @ IFK Östersund, W 3-0 v IFK Goteborg, W 2-1 @ Malmo FF.
Degerfors IF hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IFK Östersund 1-5 Degerfors IF.
The market prices IFK at 5% implied. Our number sits apart on IFK Östersund: a 33.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
