HNK Hajduk Split v Istra 1961: the model read
HNK Hajduk Split meet Istra 1961 in the HNL regular season - 2 at Stadion Poljud, Split. The model makes HNK Hajduk Split the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% HNK, 29% draw, 28% IST.
HNK Hajduk Split rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1489. Recent form leans HNK Hajduk Split, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors HNK Hajduk Split on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans HNK Hajduk Split at 61%; double chance reads HNK Hajduk Split or draw 72%, Istra 1961 or draw 57%.
HNK Hajduk Split arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Pafos, L 1-2 @ Žilina, W 2-0 v Žilina, W 1-0 @ Celje.
Istra 1961 are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Lecce, W 5-2 v Orijent 1919, D 2-2 @ Udinese, W 2-1 v Milton Keynes Dons.
HNK Hajduk Split hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Istra 1961 1-3 HNK Hajduk Split.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
