Vasalund v IFK Norrkoping

Vasalund meet IFK Norrkoping in the Svenska Cupen final.

IFK Norrkoping rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1489. Recent form leans IFK Norrkoping, 75% against 48%. Attacking output favors IFK Norrkoping on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans IFK Norrkoping at 74%; double chance reads Vasalund or draw 45%, IFK Norrkoping or draw 80%.

Vasalund arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v Stocksund, L 1-2 v IFK Norrkoping, D 1-1 @ Piteå, W 2-0 v Stockholm Internazionale.

IFK Norrkoping are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Vasalund, W 4-1 @ Sandviken, W 3-0 v IK brage, W 2-0 v Helsingborg.

IFK Norrkoping hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vasalund 1-2 IFK Norrkoping.

The market prices VAS at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on Vasalund: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.