Where the market is wrong on Keith v Strathspey Thistle
Keith meet Strathspey Thistle in the Football League - Highland League highland league - 11.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Keith, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Keith on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Keith arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 12 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Strathspey Thistle, L 1-4 @ Banks O' Dee, W 2-0 v Deveronvale, W 3-2 v Buckie Thistle.
Strathspey Thistle are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 16 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Keith, W 7-1 v Rothes, D 1-1 @ Inverurie Loco Works, W 2-0 @ Invergordon.
The recent head-to-head is even, 5 apiece across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Keith 2-3 Strathspey Thistle.
The market prices KEI at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Keith: a 7.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
