Manacor v Peña Deportiva: the model read
Manacor meet Peña Deportiva in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 final. The model makes Peña Deportiva the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% MAN, 29% draw, 41% PEÑ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 68%. Attacking output favors Peña Deportiva on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Peña Deportiva at 57%; double chance reads Manacor or draw 59%, Peña Deportiva or draw 70%.
Manacor arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Peña Deportiva, L 1-2 @ Peña Deportiva, W 2-1 v Llosetense, D 1-1 @ Llosetense.
Peña Deportiva are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Arenas Armilla, D 1-1 @ Arenas Armilla, W 3-1 @ Manacor, W 2-1 v Manacor.
Peña Deportiva hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Manacor 1-3 Peña Deportiva.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
