Santo André v São José EC: the model read
Santo André meet São José EC in the Copa Paulista group stage - 3. The model makes São José EC the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 25% SAN, 29% draw, 45% SÃO.
São José EC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1420. Recent form leans São José EC, 65% against 38%. Attacking output favors São José EC on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans São José EC at 64%; double chance reads Santo André or draw 55%, São José EC or draw 75%.
Santo André arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v São Caetano, L 1-3 @ EC São Bernardo, W 4-2 v Sao Bento, D 1-1 @ Linense.
São José EC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v EC São Bernardo, W 2-1 @ São Caetano, W 5-0 v Sertãozinho, L 0-1 @ Juventus.
São José EC hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santo André 0-3 São José EC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
