São Caetano v EC São Bernardo: the model read
São Caetano meet EC São Bernardo in the Copa Paulista group stage - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans EC São Bernardo, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors EC São Bernardo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
São Caetano arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 0 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Primavera SP, L 0-5 v Primavera SP, D 0-0 @ São José EC, L 0-1 v Santo André.
EC São Bernardo are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Comercial, L 0-2 @ Comercial, L 0-1 @ Santo André, L 2-3 v São José EC.
EC São Bernardo hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: EC São Bernardo 2-0 São Caetano.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
