SenegalMozambique v Senegal: the model read
Mozambique meet Senegal in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 5.
Senegal rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1400. Recent form leans Senegal, 68% against 32%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.6 to 0.9 per match.
Mozambique arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Indonesia, L 1-4 @ Oman, L 0-4 @ Nigeria, L 1-2 v Cameroon.
Senegal are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq, L 2-3 @ Norway, L 1-3 @ France.
Senegal hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Mozambique 0-1 Senegal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
