Orlando City SC v Columbus Crew: the model read
Orlando City SC meet Columbus Crew in the US Open Cup semi-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Orlando City SC, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Orlando City SC on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Orlando City SC arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Minnesota United FC, W 2-1 v Real Salt Lake, L 1-2 v Chicago Fire, D 1-1 v FC Cincinnati.
Columbus Crew are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v New England Revolution, L 0-2 @ Club America, L 2-3 @ Nashville SC, L 1-2 v CF Montreal.
Orlando City SC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Columbus Crew 1-1 Orlando City SC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
