Laval v Rouen: the model read
Laval meet Rouen in the Ligue 2 final at Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval. The model makes Laval the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% LAV, 31% draw, 33% ROU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1509 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 47%. Attacking output favors Laval on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Laval at 53%; double chance reads Laval or draw 67%, Rouen or draw 64%.
Laval arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Concarneau, W 2-1 v Avranches, L 2-4 @ Caen, W 5-0 v Quevilly.
Rouen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Boulogne, L 0-1 @ Laval, D 1-1 v Laval, W 2-1 @ Fleury 91.
Laval hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Laval 1-0 Rouen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
