Persekat v Persiba Balikpapan: the model read
Persekat meet Persiba Balikpapan in the Liga 2 relegation round - final at Tri Sanja Stadium, Tegal. The model makes Persekat the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% PER, 34% draw, 32% PER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Persekat, 38% against 28%. Attacking output favors Persekat on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Persekat at 52%; double chance reads Persekat or draw 68%, Persiba Balikpapan or draw 65%.
Persekat arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Persiba Balikpapan, L 1-3 @ Sumsel United, D 1-1 v Persiraja Banda Aceh, L 2-4 @ PSPS.
Persiba Balikpapan are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Persekat, L 1-2 @ Deltras, D 1-1 v PSS Sleman, D 3-3 @ Barito Putera.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output