São Caetano v Penapolense: the model read
São Caetano meet Penapolense in the Paulista - A4 semi-finals.
Penapolense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1477. Recent form leans Penapolense, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Penapolense on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
São Caetano arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 0 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Primavera SP, L 0-5 v Primavera SP, D 0-0 @ São José EC, L 0-1 v Santo André.
Penapolense are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Inter de Bebedouro, W 2-1 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 2-2 @ São Caetano, W 2-1 v São Caetano.
Penapolense hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: São Caetano 2-2 Penapolense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
