Vitória ES v Serra Talhada: the model read
Vitória ES meet Serra Talhada in the Copa Espírito Santo 1st phase - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vitória ES, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Vitória ES on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Vitória ES arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Rio Branco-VN, L 0-2 @ Ipatinga, D 0-0 v Vilavelhense, W 1-0 v Ipatinga.
Serra Talhada are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Rio Branco ES, D 1-1 v Porto Vitória, L 0-1 @ Rio Branco-VN, L 2-3 @ Vitória ES.
Vitória ES hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vitória ES 3-2 Serra Talhada.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
