Jonava v Šiauliai: the model read
Jonava meet Šiauliai in the Cup 2nd round. The model makes Jonava the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% JON, 28% draw, 28% ŠIA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1458, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 42%. Attacking output favors Jonava on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Jonava at 61%; double chance reads Jonava or draw 72%, Šiauliai or draw 56%.
Jonava arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Garliava, L 1-2 @ Minija, L 1-2 @ Hegelmann II, W 2-1 @ Žalgiris II.
Šiauliai are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Hegelmann Litauen, L 0-4 @ Kauno Žalgiris, L 0-3 v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, L 1-3 v TransINVEST Vilnius.
Šiauliai hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jonava 0-4 Šiauliai.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
