P-Iirot v Ilves II

P-Iirot meet Ilves II in the Kakkonen - Lohko B group b. The model makes Ilves II the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 32% P-I, 27% draw, 42% ILV.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ilves II, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Ilves II on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 86%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Ilves II at 57%; double chance reads P-Iirot or draw 58%, Ilves II or draw 68%.

P-Iirot arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ilves II, D 1-1 @ EBK, L 0-2 @ EPS, W 3-0 v HJS Akatemia.

Ilves II are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ P-Iirot, D 2-2 v Honka, W 6-2 v GrIFK, D 1-1 @ ÅIFK.

Ilves II hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 3 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: P-Iirot 2-1 Ilves II.

The market prices P-I at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.