Cooma Tigers FC v Tuggeranong United

Cooma Tigers FC meet Tuggeranong United in the Capital Territory NPL regular season - 18 at Jerrabomberra Regional Sports Complex, undefined. The model makes Cooma Tigers FC the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% COO, 25% draw, 28% TUG.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1625, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 63%. Attacking output favors Cooma Tigers FC on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 87%, over 2.5 goals around 94%. Draw no bet leans Cooma Tigers FC at 63%; double chance reads Cooma Tigers FC or draw 72%, Tuggeranong United or draw 53%.

Cooma Tigers FC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Tuggeranong United, L 0-2 v Western Sydney Wanderers, D 2-2 v Queanbeyan City, W 2-0 @ Canberra White Eagles.

Tuggeranong United are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Cooma Tigers FC, W 2-1 v Canberra White Eagles, W 1-0 v Belconnen United, W 2-1 @ Canberra FC.

Cooma Tigers FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cooma Tigers FC 4-1 Tuggeranong United.

The market prices COO at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Tuggeranong United: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.