Where the market is wrong on Iskra Smolensk v Baltika II
Iskra Smolensk meet Baltika II in the Second League - Group 2 group 2 - 21.
Baltika II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1400. Recent form leans Baltika II, 66% against 23%. Attacking output favors Baltika II on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.8 per match.
Iskra Smolensk arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Baltika II, L 0-4 @ Yenisey II, L 0-3 v Chertanovo Moscow, L 0-5 @ Kaluga.
Baltika II are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Iskra Smolensk, W 3-0 v Murom, W 3-1 @ Luki-Energiya, W 4-3 v Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Baltika II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Iskra Smolensk 1-1 Baltika II.
The market prices ISK at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
