FC Santa Coloma advanced to the Copa Constitució final with a 3-0 victory over city rivals UE Santa Coloma, though the scoreline was heavily influenced by a dramatic extra-time period in which the visitors received two red cards. The Lemeister model had predicted a much tighter contest, rating UE Santa Coloma as narrow favourites with a 37 per cent win probability, but the match was ultimately decided by a flurry of late goals after the game remained goalless through 90 minutes.
The deadlock was broken deep into the first period of extra time. I. Barrenetxea opened the scoring in the 93rd minute, giving FC Santa Coloma the lead with what proved to be the decisive moment of the contest. Just four minutes later, G. Lopez doubled the advantage in the 97th minute, putting the home side firmly in control as the first half of extra time came to a close. The second period saw UE Santa Coloma's discipline unravel, with G. V. Quichini dos Santos receiving a red card in the 110th minute, reducing the visitors to ten men. P. Margallo followed him to an early dismissal in the 119th minute, leaving UE Santa Coloma with nine players. S. Andreu then completed the scoring in the 116th minute, adding a third goal to seal the result.
The statistical data provided is limited, but the pattern of the match is clear from the sequence of events. FC Santa Coloma managed to keep the visitors scoreless across 120 minutes, a foundation that allowed them to capitalise in extra time. The fact that all three goals arrived after the 90th minute suggests that the game was a tightly contested defensive battle for the first hour and a half. UE Santa Coloma's inability to find the net, even when both sides were at full strength, proved costly as the match wore on.
Without detailed possession, shots or expected goals figures, it is difficult to assess the balance of play in open terms. However, the defensive resilience of FC Santa Coloma was evidently a key factor. They absorbed pressure through regular time and then exploited the growing fatigue and eventual indiscipline of their opponents. The two red cards, both issued in extra time and within nine minutes of each other, indicate that UE Santa Coloma lost their composure when the match turned against them.
The names of the goal scorers provide the only individual highlights in the data. I. Barrenetxea struck the crucial first goal, while G. Lopez and S. Andreu added the insurance strikes. No assists are recorded for any of the three goals, suggesting they may have been individual efforts or the result of defensive errors. The absence of any cards for FC Santa Coloma points to a disciplined performance from the winning side.
For FC Santa Coloma, the victory secures a place in the Copa Constitució final. Having been considered underdogs by the Lemeister model with a 31 per cent win probability, their extra-time triumph represents a significant achievement in the context of the competition. UE Santa Coloma, who began the match as slight favourites, will rue their inability to score at full strength and the late discipline lapses that cost them any chance of recovery. The result sets up a final appearance for FC Santa Coloma, while UE Santa Coloma must reflect on what might have been after a goalless regulation period.
