Japan W v Philippines W: the model read
Japan W meet Philippines W in the Asian Cup Women quarter-finals at Accor Stadium, Sydney. The model makes Japan W the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% JAP, 29% draw, 27% PHI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Japan W, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Japan W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Japan W at 62%; double chance reads Japan W or draw 73%, Philippines W or draw 56%.
Japan W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v South Africa W, W 5-0 v South Africa W, L 0-3 @ USA W, W 1-0 @ USA W.
Philippines W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Albion San Diego W, L 0-1 @ San Diego Wave W, W 2-0 @ Uzbekistan W, L 0-7 @ Japan W.
Japan W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Japan W 7-0 Philippines W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
