Albania v Belarus: the model read
Albania meet Belarus in the UEFA Nations League 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Belarus on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Albania arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Luxembourg, L 0-1 v Israel, L 0-1 @ Ukraine, L 1-2 @ Poland.
Belarus are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Burkina Faso, W 4-1 v Syria, W 2-1 @ Armenia, W 1-0 @ Cyprus.
Albania hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2020: Albania 3-2 Belarus.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
