AO Itabaiana v América SE: the model read
AO Itabaiana meet América SE in the Sergipano 3rd place at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana. The model makes América SE the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 26% AO , 35% draw, 39% AMÉ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans América SE, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors América SE on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans América SE at 59%; double chance reads AO Itabaiana or draw 61%, América SE or draw 74%.
AO Itabaiana arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Confiança, W 1-0 v Brusque, W 2-0 @ Amazonas, W 1-0 v Ferroviária.
América SE are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ AO Itabaiana, D 1-1 @ Sergipe, D 1-1 v Sergipe, W 3-0 @ Lagarto.
AO Itabaiana hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AO Itabaiana 1-0 América SE.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
