Criciuma v Camboriú: the model read
Criciuma meet Camboriú in the Catarinense - 1 final. The model makes Criciuma the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% CRI, 33% draw, 25% CAM.
Criciuma rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1466. Recent form leans Criciuma, 73% against 45%. Attacking output favors Criciuma on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Criciuma at 63%; double chance reads Criciuma or draw 75%, Camboriú or draw 58%.
Criciuma arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Nautico Recife, W 1-0 @ Novorizontino, W 2-0 v Vila Nova, W 2-1 @ Ponte Preta.
Camboriú are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Criciuma, W 1-0 v Criciuma, W 1-0 v Avai, L 0-3 @ Barra.
Criciuma hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Criciuma 3-2 Camboriú.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
