Where the market is wrong on Shaanxi Union v Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Shaanxi Union meet Heilongjiang Lava Spring in the League One regular season - 22 at Weinan Sports Center Stadium, Weinan.
Shaanxi Union rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Shaanxi Union, 57% against 35%. Attacking output favors Shaanxi Union on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Shaanxi Union arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Heilongjiang Lava Spring, W 3-1 v Yanbian Longding, L 1-4 @ Nantong Zhiyun, W 2-1 v Changchun Yatai.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Shaanxi Union, L 3-4 v Suzhou Dongwu, L 1-2 v Hebei Kungfu, D 1-1 @ Nanjing City.
Shaanxi Union hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shaanxi Union 2-1 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
The market prices SHA at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on Heilongjiang Lava Spring: a 11.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
