Where the market is wrong on Atyrau v FC Astana
Atyrau meet FC Astana in the Premier League regular season - 24 at Turkestan Arena, Turkestan.
FC Astana rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1400. Recent form leans FC Astana, 66% against 34%. Attacking output favors FC Astana on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Atyrau arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v FC Astana, L 0-2 v Okzhetpes, D 1-1 v Aktobe, D 1-1 v Zhetysu.
FC Astana are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Atyrau, D 1-1 @ Kyzyl-Zhar, W 2-1 v Okzhetpes, W 2-0 @ Ulytau.
FC Astana hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atyrau 2-3 FC Astana.
The market prices ATY at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Atyrau: a 7.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
