Zhenys v Yelimay Semey

Zhenys meet Yelimay Semey in the Premier League regular season - 20 at Astana Arena, Astana. The model makes Zhenys the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% ZHE, 31% draw, 34% YEL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Yelimay Semey on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Zhenys at 50%; double chance reads Zhenys or draw 66%, Yelimay Semey or draw 65%.

Zhenys arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Kaspiy, D 1-1 v Ulytau, W 1-0 @ Irtysh, L 0-1 @ FC Astana.

Yelimay Semey are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Kaisar, L 1-3 @ Ordabasy, D 1-1 v Alashkert, D 1-1 @ Alashkert.

Yelimay Semey hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Yelimay Semey 2-1 Zhenys.

The market prices ZHE at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Zhenys: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.