Eastern United v Salisbury United

Eastern United meet Salisbury United in the South Australia State League 1 regular season - 19. The model makes Salisbury United the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% EAS, 29% draw, 38% SAL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 25%. Attacking output favors Salisbury United on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Salisbury United at 54%; double chance reads Eastern United or draw 62%, Salisbury United or draw 67%.

Eastern United arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Salisbury United, L 0-3 @ Adelaide Raiders, D 0-0 v Modbury Jets, L 0-1 v Cumberland United.

Salisbury United are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Eastern United, L 2-3 v Modbury Jets, L 0-1 @ Adelaide Olympic, L 0-4 v The Cove.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Eastern United 0-3 Salisbury United.

The market prices EAS at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.