Adelaide Olympic v South Adelaide Panthers

Adelaide Olympic meet South Adelaide Panthers in the South Australia State League 1 regular season - 19 at Elite Systems Football Centre, Adelaide. The model makes Adelaide Olympic the most likely outcome at 57%, with the full read 57% ADE, 23% draw, 19% SOU.

Adelaide Olympic rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans Adelaide Olympic, 63% against 28%. Attacking output favors Adelaide Olympic on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Adelaide Olympic at 75%; double chance reads Adelaide Olympic or draw 81%, South Adelaide Panthers or draw 43%.

Adelaide Olympic arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v South Adelaide Panthers, W 1-0 @ Adelaide Victory, W 1-0 v Salisbury United, L 1-4 @ Modbury Jets.

South Adelaide Panthers are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Adelaide Olympic, D 2-2 v The Cove, L 1-4 @ Adelaide Blue Eagles, L 0-1 v Fulham United.

Adelaide Olympic hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Adelaide Olympic 5-1 South Adelaide Panthers.

The market prices ADE at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.