Grafičar v Macva: the model read
Grafičar meet Macva in the Cup quarter-finals at Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 33% GRA, 34% draw, 33% MAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1480 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Macva on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Grafičar at 50%; double chance reads Grafičar or draw 67%, Macva or draw 67%.
Grafičar arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Borac Cacak, W 1-0 v OFK Vršac, L 0-2 v Metalac GM, L 1-3 @ FAP.
Macva are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v FK Partizan, L 0-5 @ FK Crvena Zvezda, L 1-2 v Naftagas, L 1-2 v Naftagas.
Grafičar hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grafičar 1-1 Macva.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
