Maranhão v IAPE: the model read
Maranhão meet IAPE in the Maranhense final. The model makes IAPE the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% MAR, 34% draw, 35% IAP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors IAPE on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans IAPE at 54%; double chance reads Maranhão or draw 65%, IAPE or draw 69%.
Maranhão arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Ferroviária, W 2-1 v Ypiranga-RS, L 0-1 v Inter De Limeira, D 0-0 @ Ituano.
IAPE are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Maracanã, L 1-3 v Sampaio Correa, D 1-1 v Iguatu, D 2-2 @ Moto Club.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
