Oakleigh Cannons v South Melbourne: the model read
Oakleigh Cannons meet South Melbourne in the Victoria NPL regular season - 22 at Jack Edwards Reserve, Melbourne. The model makes Oakleigh Cannons the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% OAK, 27% draw, 26% SOU.
Oakleigh Cannons rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1558. Recent form leans Oakleigh Cannons, 78% against 55%. Attacking output favors South Melbourne on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Oakleigh Cannons at 64%; double chance reads Oakleigh Cannons or draw 74%, South Melbourne or draw 53%.
Oakleigh Cannons arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v South Melbourne, W 1-0 @ Hume City, W 2-0 v Avondale, D 1-1 @ Sunshine Georgies.
South Melbourne are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Oakleigh Cannons, D 0-0 v Preston Lions, W 2-0 @ Dandenong City, W 1-0 v Dandenong Thunder.
Oakleigh Cannons hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Oakleigh Cannons 1-2 South Melbourne.
The market prices OAK at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
