Operario-PR v Coritiba: the model read
Operario-PR meet Coritiba in the Paranaense - 1 semi-finals. The model makes Operario-PR the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% OPE, 31% draw, 32% COR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Operario-PR on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Operario-PR at 53%; double chance reads Operario-PR or draw 68%, Coritiba or draw 63%.
Operario-PR arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Atletico Goianiense, W 3-2 v Ponte Preta, D 2-2 @ Sport Recife, W 2-1 v Novorizontino.
Coritiba are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ RB Bragantino, L 1-3 v Palmeiras, L 0-3 @ Flamengo, W 3-2 v Bahia.
Operario-PR hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Coritiba 2-2 Operario-PR.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
