Hapoel Beer Sheva v Bnei Yehuda: the model read
Hapoel Beer Sheva meet Bnei Yehuda in the State Cup semi-finals at Toto Turner Stadium, undefined. The model makes Bnei Yehuda the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 34% HAP, 28% draw, 37% BNE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 65%. Attacking output favors Hapoel Beer Sheva on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Bnei Yehuda at 52%; double chance reads Hapoel Beer Sheva or draw 63%, Bnei Yehuda or draw 66%.
Hapoel Beer Sheva arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik, L 1-3 v Maccabi Tel Aviv, L 1-3 @ Legia Warszawa, D 2-2 @ Omonia Nicosia.
Bnei Yehuda are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Hapoel Petah Tikva, D 2-2 v Hapoel Katamon, W 2-0 v Ironi Kiryat Shmona, D 3-3 v Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Hapoel Beer Sheva hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hapoel Beer Sheva 3-2 Bnei Yehuda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
