St. George Saints v Blacktown City

St. George Saints meet Blacktown City in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 29 at St George Stadium, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Blacktown City, 50% against 20%. Attacking output favors Blacktown City on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Blacktown City at 65%; double chance reads St. George Saints or draw 54%, Blacktown City or draw 75%.

St. George Saints arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Blacktown City, W 2-1 @ Western Sydney Wanderers U23, D 0-0 v APIA Leichhardt Tigers, L 2-3 v SD Raiders.

Blacktown City are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ St. George Saints, D 0-0 v UNSW, L 1-3 @ NWS Spirit, W 4-2 v Sydney FC U23.

The market prices ST. at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Blacktown City: a 7.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.