Where the market is wrong on York United v Pacific FC
York United meet Pacific FC in the Canadian Premier League group stage at York Lions Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans York United, 43% against 23%. Attacking output favors York United on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
York United arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Vancouver FC, D 3-3 v Pacific FC, D 1-1 @ Forge, L 1-2 @ Atlético Ottawa.
Pacific FC are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Cavalry FC, D 3-3 @ York United, D 0-0 @ Atlético Ottawa, W 4-3 v HFX Wanderers FC.
York United hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: York United 3-3 Pacific FC.
The market prices YOR at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output