Where the market is wrong on Ægir v Grindavik
Ægir meet Grindavik in the 1. Deild regular season - 22 at GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Grindavik, 45% against 18%. Attacking output favors Ægir on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Ægir arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 23 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Grindavik, L 2-7 @ Throttur Reykjavik, L 0-7 v Afturelding, L 1-6 @ Leiknir R..
Grindavik are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ægir, W 4-3 v HK Kopavogur, L 1-6 @ Fylkir, D 0-0 v Grotta.
Grindavik hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ægir 1-1 Grindavik.
The market prices ÆGI at 12% implied. Our number sits apart on Ægir: a 17.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
