Figueirense v Carlos Renaux: the model read
Figueirense meet Carlos Renaux in the Catarinense - 1 relegation group - 6. The model makes Carlos Renaux the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% FIG, 32% draw, 37% CAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 50%. Attacking output favors Carlos Renaux on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Carlos Renaux at 55%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 63%, Carlos Renaux or draw 69%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Santa Cruz, D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas.
Carlos Renaux are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Figueirense, W 2-1 v Marcílio Dias, W 2-1 v Joinville, L 0-3 @ Joinville.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
