USM Alger v JS Saoura: the model read
USM Alger meet JS Saoura in the Coupe Nationale quarter-finals at Stade du 5 Juillet, Algiers. The model makes JS Saoura the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 25% USM, 33% draw, 41% JS .
JS Saoura rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1500. Recent form leans JS Saoura, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors JS Saoura on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans JS Saoura at 62%; double chance reads USM Alger or draw 59%, JS Saoura or draw 75%.
USM Alger arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ MC Oran, D 2-2 @ Ben Aknoun, D 1-1 v CR Belouizdad, L 0-1 @ MB Rouisset.
JS Saoura are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v CS Constantine, D 0-0 @ El Bayadh, D 0-0 v CR Belouizdad, W 4-0 @ Mostaganem.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
