Union Magdalena v Real Soacha: the model read
Union Magdalena meet Real Soacha in the Primera B apertura - 9 at Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta. The model makes Union Magdalena the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% UNI, 30% draw, 25% REA.
Union Magdalena rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1420. Recent form leans Union Magdalena, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Union Magdalena on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Union Magdalena at 64%; double chance reads Union Magdalena or draw 75%, Real Soacha or draw 55%.
Union Magdalena arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bogota FC, D 1-1 @ Barranquilla, W 3-0 v Real Cartagena, L 1-2 @ Real Cartagena.
Real Soacha are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Águilas Doradas, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Pereira, W 2-0 v Ind. Yumbo, W 2-1 @ Jaguares.
Union Magdalena hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union Magdalena 1-1 Real Soacha.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
