Where the market is wrong on Lindome v Västra Frölunda
Lindome meet Västra Frölunda in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland västra götaland - 19.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors Västra Frölunda on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 82%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans Lindome at 53%; double chance reads Lindome or draw 66%, Västra Frölunda or draw 62%.
Lindome arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Västra Frölunda, W 4-1 @ Onsala, W 2-0 v Astrio, W 2-0 @ Åstorp.
Västra Frölunda are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Lindome, W 1-0 v Landvetter IS, L 0-4 v IF Elfsborg, L 0-4 @ Kongahälla.
Lindome hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lindome 2-1 Västra Frölunda.
The market prices LIN at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
