Where the market is wrong on Grebbestad v Skara
Grebbestad meet Skara in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland norra götaland - 23.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Skara, 80% against 65%. Attacking output favors Skara on expected goals, 2.1 to 2.0 per match.
Grebbestad arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Skara, W 3-1 @ Motala, W 2-1 @ Vänersborgs IF, L 0-1 v Lidköping.
Skara are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Grebbestad, W 1-0 v Ahlafors, W 4-1 @ IF Karlstad II, W 5-0 v Vänersborgs IF.
Grebbestad hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grebbestad 3-1 Skara.
The market prices GRE at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output