Paju Citizen v Ansan Greeners

Paju Citizen meet Ansan Greeners in the K League 2 regular season - 19 at Paju Stadium, Paju. The model makes Paju Citizen the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% PAJ, 30% draw, 27% ANS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Paju Citizen, 43% against 28%. Attacking output favors Paju Citizen on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Paju Citizen at 61%; double chance reads Paju Citizen or draw 73%, Ansan Greeners or draw 57%.

Paju Citizen arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Suwon Bluewings, W 3-2 v Gangneung City, W 2-1 @ Hwaseong, L 0-1 v Yongin City.

Ansan Greeners are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Gyeongnam FC, L 0-2 v Jinju Citizen, W 2-1 v Suwon Bluewings, L 1-3 v Suwon City FC.

Paju Citizen hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ansan Greeners 1-2 Paju Citizen.

The market prices PAJ at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.