Alaves v Real Sociedad: the model read
Alaves meet Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey quarter-finals at Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz.
Alaves rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1408. Recent form leans Alaves, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Alaves on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Alaves arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Villarreal, D 1-1 @ Rayo Vallecano, W 3-0 v Getafe, D 1-1 @ Racing Santander.
Real Sociedad are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Espanyol, L 1-4 @ Real Madrid, L 0-1 @ Real Betis, L 1-3 @ Chelsea.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Real Sociedad 3-3 Alaves.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
