Where the market is wrong on Torpedo Kutaisi v Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi meet Samgurali in the Erovnuli Liga regular season - 26 at Stadion Ramaz Shengelia, Kutaisi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 50%. Attacking output favors Torpedo Kutaisi on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Torpedo Kutaisi arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Samgurali, D 1-1 @ Gagra, D 1-1 v Dinamo Tbilisi, L 0-2 v Meshakhte.
Samgurali are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Torpedo Kutaisi, L 1-3 v Dila, L 1-2 @ FC Iberia 1999, D 1-1 v Rustavi.
Torpedo Kutaisi hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Torpedo Kutaisi 3-2 Samgurali.
The market prices TOR at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Samgurali: a 9.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
